Chance, Oklahoma Demographics & Population 2026
During the 2020–2024 ACS period, Chance, Oklahoma had a total population of 315, the 452nd largest community in Oklahoma. The poverty rate is 3.2%.
Data vintage: U.S. Census Bureau ACS 2020–2024 5-Year Estimates · refreshed July 2026 · Methodology & source notes
Key Takeaways
- An exceptionally low poverty rate of 3.2% — among the lowest in Oklahoma.
- Only 7.3% of adults have a bachelor's degree, well below the national average of 35.7%.
Chance Quick Facts
How Chance Changed
Change from the 2019–2023 ACS period to 2020–2024. These are rolling five-year estimates, not year-over-year measurements.
| Metric | 2019–2023 | 2020–2024 | Change |
|---|---|---|---|
| Population | 291 | 315 | +8.2% |
How Chance Compares
Median Household Income
Median Home Value
Economy & Housing
Household Income Distribution
Detailed income brackets
Employment
Housing Overview
People & Demographics
Age Distribution
Race & Ethnicity
Diversity Index
A diverse community with significant representation from multiple racial and ethnic groups.
State average: 58 | National average: 61
Education
Educational Attainment (Adults 25+)
Chance Rankings in Oklahoma
Explore Oklahoma Rankings
Other Cities in Adair County
| City | Population | Median Income | Poverty | Home Value |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Stilwell | 3,755 | $37,292 | 34.2% | $101,600 |
| Westville | 1,743 | $39,400 | 34.1% | $68,500 |
| Fairfield | 690 | $87,625 | 17.4% | $93,300 |
| Chewey | 642 | $83,313 | 40.3% | $125,000 |
| Cherry Tree | 585 | $63,000 | 23.2% | $114,100 |
| Lyons Switch | 569 | $70,417 | 17.8% | $185,800 |
| Rocky Mountain | 532 | $52,500 | 17.3% | $153,900 |
| Titanic | 419 | $67,500 | 12.8% | $160,700 |
| Baron | 413 | $90,583 | 0.0% | $173,800 |
| Bell | 384 | $63,688 | 32.8% | $145,000 |
Cities Similar to Chance
These cities in the same state have comparable population and economic profiles.
| City | Population | Median Income | Home Value | Bachelor's+ | Poverty |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dover | 316 | $43,036 | $121,400 | 6.7% | 15.5% |
| Peavine | 316 | $45,694 | $150,600 | 14.6% | 18.9% |
| Webbers Falls | 316 | $84,250 | $110,500 | 16.9% | 13.6% |
| East Duke | 313 | $67,917 | $89,400 | 30.6% | 2.2% |
| Arpelar | 312 | $87,750 | $124,000 | 12.0% | 17.6% |
A note before these figures: with a population of 315, Chance's ACS estimates come from a small number of survey responses and carry wide margins of error. Individual percentages below — particularly rates that round to 0% or 100% — are approximations, not precise measurements. See data.census.gov for the published margins of error.
Population Overview
Chance is a small community located in Oklahoma, within Adair County. The total population is 315. It ranks as the 452nd most populous out of 834 Census-designated places in Oklahoma.
Age Demographics
The median age in Chance is 58.5 years. This is 58% higher than the state median of 37.0 years. 15.6% of residents are 75 or older, suggesting a significant retirement-age population with implications for healthcare services and senior housing.
Economy, Income & Housing
The poverty rate stands at 3.2%. This is 79% lower than the state poverty rate of 15.3%. This exceptionally low poverty rate indicates strong economic prosperity across the community. The unemployment rate is 3.8%. This is 23% lower than the state rate of 5.0%. The median home value is $156,300. Housing costs are 22% lower than the state median of $199,800. 84.5% of occupied housing units are owner-occupied. This homeownership rate is 28% higher than the state average of 65.8%.
Race & Ethnicity
The largest racial or ethnic group in Chance is White (non-Hispanic), making up 60.0% of the population. Hispanic or Latino residents account for 0.9%. The Hispanic or Latino population (0.9%) is well below the state average of 12.7%.
Education
7.3% of residents aged 25 and older hold a bachelor's degree or higher. This is 74% lower than the state rate of 28.3%. Nationally, 35.7% of adults hold at least a bachelor's degree. The high school graduation rate (or equivalent) is 95.3%.
Data Sources & Methodology
All demographic data for Chance, Oklahoma is sourced from the U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS) 2020–2024 5-Year Estimates. The ACS collects data from approximately 3.5 million households annually and pools five years of responses so that even small communities can be measured, though the margin of error widens as the population falls. Comparisons are made against Oklahoma state averages and national averages calculated from the same dataset. Rankings reflect the city's position among all 834 Census-designated places in Oklahoma. Read more about how these figures are produced on our methodology page, or visit data.census.gov for official data.
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Frequently Asked Questions
What is the population of Chance, Oklahoma?
Chance, Oklahoma has a population of 315 according to the most recent U.S. Census ACS 5-Year Estimates.
What is the median household income in Chance, OK?
The Census Bureau does not publish a reliable median household income estimate for Chance — the community is too small for the ACS sample. The national median is $80,734.
What is the poverty rate in Chance, OK?
The poverty rate in Chance is 3.2%. This means approximately 10 residents live below the federal poverty line.
What is the racial makeup of Chance, Oklahoma?
Chance's population is 60.0% White, 0.0% Black, 0.9% Hispanic/Latino, and 0.0% Asian.
What is the median home value in Chance, OK?
The median home value in Chance is $156,300.
How educated is Chance, Oklahoma?
7.3% of adults (25+) in Chance hold a bachelor's degree or higher, and 3.0% hold a graduate or professional degree.