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The Affordability Cliff: Where a Home Costs 19 Years of Income — or 1

The most consequential number in American housing is not a price — it is a ratio. Divide a city's median home value by its median household income and you get the number of years of gross income a typical local home costs a typical local family. Nationally that figure is 4.1x. We computed it for every US city with at least 20,000 residents, and the spread is staggering: from 19.3x in Monsey, NY down to 1.4x in Flint, MI — roughly a 14-fold difference in what a home demands of a local paycheck, inside a single country.

In 150 cities the ratio is 8x or worse — a level at which a conventional mortgage is arithmetically impossible for the median household, since lenders traditionally cap lending near 3–4x income. At the other extreme, 22 cities post ratios of 2x or below, where the barrier to ownership is not price but everything else: jobs, credit, and confidence in the local market.

Key Findings

Top 10 Least Affordable Cities (Home Value ÷ Income)

Monsey
19.3x
Santa Monica
15.3x
Kiryas Joel
15.2x
Beverly Hills
15.0x
Santa Barbara
14.8x
Laguna Beach
13.9x
Boone
13.7x
Berkeley
13.1x
Westmont
12.9x
South Pasadena
12.9x

The 100 Least Affordable US Cities

# City Value-to-IncomeMedian Home ValueMedian IncomePopulation
1 Monsey, NY 19.3x$921,000$47,62928,160
2 Santa Monica, CA 15.3x$1,755,500$114,88591,169
3 Kiryas Joel, NY 15.2x$758,800$50,03238,916
4 Beverly Hills, CA 15.0x$2,000,000+$132,97731,624
5 Santa Barbara, CA 14.8x$1,570,800$106,18287,779
6 Laguna Beach, CA 13.9x$2,000,000+$143,84322,710
7 Boone, NC 13.7x$411,100$30,06520,032
8 Berkeley, CA 13.1x$1,413,900$108,092120,257
9 Westmont, CA 12.9x$653,800$50,50934,123
10 South Pasadena, CA 12.9x$1,640,000$127,17526,068
11 Newport Beach, CA 12.7x$2,000,000+$156,86783,845
12 Arcadia, CA 12.7x$1,441,800$113,51655,170
13 San Luis Obispo, CA 12.7x$935,100$73,68548,491
14 Lakewood, NJ 12.6x$715,500$56,96869,585
15 Glendale, CA 12.5x$1,102,300$88,393190,748
16 Boulder, CO 11.9x$1,039,500$87,493106,433
17 Millbrae, CA 11.8x$1,934,900$163,47622,689
18 Burlingame, CA 11.5x$2,000,000+$174,00030,525
19 Redwood City, CA 11.4x$1,801,700$157,81482,447
20 Hawthorne, CA 11.4x$863,400$75,84885,191
21 San Rafael, CA 11.4x$1,355,600$119,43560,433
22 Los Angeles, CA 11.2x$921,200$81,9393,857,263
23 Burbank (Los Angeles County), CA 11.2x$1,089,100$97,082104,546
24 Campbell, CA 11.1x$1,617,000$145,26842,781
25 Rosemead, CA 11.0x$807,200$73,56650,013
26 Inglewood, CA 10.9x$792,800$72,750104,569
27 San Mateo, CA 10.5x$1,618,700$153,504103,105
28 Monterey Park, CA 10.5x$863,000$81,85559,132
29 Kihei, HI 10.5x$919,900$87,77221,567
30 Santa Cruz, CA 10.5x$1,209,000$115,47561,607
31 Monterey, CA 10.5x$1,076,300$102,84629,613
32 San Gabriel, CA 10.5x$945,700$90,48838,392
33 Maywood, CA 10.4x$634,400$60,94324,317
34 Pasadena, CA 10.4x$1,093,300$105,192136,969
35 Encinitas, CA 10.2x$1,646,800$162,22961,480
36 Mountain View (Santa Clara County), CA 10.1x$1,927,000$189,91783,732
37 El Cajon, CA 10.1x$681,700$67,511104,449
38 Westminster, CA 10.0x$858,300$85,54189,860
39 West Lafayette, IN 10.0x$350,000$34,89145,159
40 Costa Mesa, CA 10.0x$1,115,100$111,505110,330
41 San Clemente, CA 10.0x$1,398,400$140,06263,273
42 Imperial Beach, CA 10.0x$857,000$86,11125,764
43 Rowland Heights, CA 9.9x$851,300$85,61745,911
44 San Francisco, CA 9.9x$1,394,500$140,970830,235
45 Key West, FL 9.8x$852,400$87,03725,720
46 Manhattan Beach, CA 9.8x$2,000,000+$204,30634,210
47 Urban Honolulu, HI 9.7x$843,400$86,504345,482
48 Alhambra, CA 9.7x$857,800$88,02481,022
49 Belmont, CA 9.7x$2,000,000+$205,29727,337
50 Culver City, CA 9.7x$1,142,900$117,38939,931
51 East Palo Alto, CA 9.7x$1,102,600$113,49329,069
52 Bell, CA 9.7x$591,600$61,02032,476
53 Sunnyvale, CA 9.7x$1,801,800$186,170154,236
54 New York, NY 9.7x$777,600$80,4838,483,844
55 State College, PA 9.6x$437,800$45,42441,050
56 Davis, CA 9.6x$866,100$90,04566,978
57 Huntington Park, CA 9.5x$572,700$59,99653,108
58 West Hollywood, CA 9.5x$924,800$96,99534,884
59 Menlo Park, CA 9.5x$2,000,000+$210,02532,727
60 Ashland, CA 9.5x$775,800$81,70222,210
61 Monrovia, CA 9.5x$909,400$96,02137,571
62 El Monte, CA 9.5x$644,000$68,030106,109
63 Bellingham, WA 9.4x$627,500$66,75593,438
64 East Los Angeles, CA 9.4x$643,100$68,741111,647
65 Dana Point, CA 9.3x$1,320,300$141,52032,790
66 Eastern Goleta Valley, CA 9.3x$1,361,700$146,28428,295
67 Fountain Valley, CA 9.3x$1,072,300$115,23756,258
68 Torrance, CA 9.2x$1,074,700$116,217142,130
69 Foster City, CA 9.2x$1,838,200$199,14332,792
70 Seaside, CA 9.2x$787,100$85,31131,814
71 Long Beach, CA 9.2x$806,600$87,430455,548
72 Temple City, CA 9.2x$961,800$104,42535,430
73 Los Gatos, CA 9.2x$2,000,000+$217,55432,786
74 National City, CA 9.2x$612,200$66,84158,893
75 Oakland, CA 9.2x$929,900$101,600439,418
76 Lawndale, CA 9.2x$781,900$85,44130,781
77 Mercer Island, WA 9.1x$2,000,000+$219,06925,307
78 Kailua (Honolulu County), HI 9.1x$1,353,700$148,58239,640
79 Calabasas, CA 9.1x$1,504,500$165,28822,669
80 Huntington Beach, CA 9.1x$1,100,000$120,919195,240
81 Pullman, WA 9.1x$424,800$46,81232,229
82 Bell Gardens, CA 9.1x$563,900$62,29838,229
83 Daly City, CA 9.0x$1,115,000$123,547101,964
84 Alameda, CA 9.0x$1,235,700$137,69777,238
85 Bellflower, CA 9.0x$705,700$78,72276,819
86 Rancho Palos Verdes, CA 9.0x$1,609,400$179,62340,864
87 Leisure City, FL 8.9x$375,100$41,97727,808
88 Willowbrook, CA 8.9x$559,200$62,58221,681
89 Novato, CA 8.9x$1,032,500$115,73652,546
90 Blacksburg, VA 8.9x$446,300$50,18245,446
91 Sunny Isles Beach, FL 8.9x$549,100$61,92122,437
92 Lomita, CA 8.9x$831,500$93,81020,225
93 East San Gabriel, CA 8.9x$962,200$108,67723,410
94 Santa Clara, CA 8.8x$1,582,600$178,958130,256
95 Lynnwood, WA 8.8x$686,900$77,70440,110
96 Garden Grove, CA 8.8x$814,100$92,174170,964
97 Carlsbad, CA 8.8x$1,257,000$142,748114,373
98 Kahului, HI 8.8x$862,600$98,07728,288
99 El Cerrito (Contra Costa County), CA 8.8x$1,124,400$127,87625,994
100 Downey, CA 8.8x$796,600$90,699110,939

Limited to places with at least 20,000 residents.

The ACS top-codes median household income at $250,001 and median home value at $2,000,001; a value at that cap means "at least this much."

Source: U.S. Census Bureau, American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates.

Who Lives at the Top of the Cliff

The expensive end of the list is not simply "rich cities." It mixes three groups: famous coastal markets where decades of job growth outran home construction; resort and second-home towns where buyers' money is earned somewhere else entirely, detaching prices from local incomes; and a handful of communities with unusually large families and low measured cash income sitting inside expensive metro housing markets. What they share is that the local median earner cannot buy the local median home — these are markets sustained by outside wealth, inherited property, or rental housing.

The cheap end tells the inverse story. Ratios below 2x cluster in Rust Belt cities like Flint and Saginaw, where housing supply built for a larger, richer industrial-era population still stands, but demand has left. A 1.4x ratio does not mean easy prosperity — it often coexists with high poverty — but it does mean ownership is attainable on wages that would not cover a year's rent at the top of this table.

Why the Ratio Beats the Price

Raw home prices flatter cheap-but-poor markets and exaggerate rich-but-expensive ones; the ratio corrects for what people actually earn where they actually live. It also predicts behavior: cities high on this list dominate our renter-majority cities analysis, because when buying is impossible, renting stops being a choice. For the state-level version of this measure, see the most affordable states; for prices alone, the most expensive cities.

How We Did This Analysis

For every US place with at least 20,000 residents reporting both figures, we divided median owner-occupied home value by median household income (both ACS 5-Year Estimates). The ratio is a stock (home value) over a flow (annual income), so read it as "years of gross income per home." Cities at the ACS home-value cap of $2,000,001 have true ratios higher than shown.

All figures come from the U.S. Census Bureau's American Community Survey (ACS) 5-Year Estimates. Because estimates pool five years of survey responses, small differences between closely ranked entries may fall within the survey's margin of error. Learn more on our methodology page or at data.census.gov.

More Data Insights

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the least affordable city in the US?

Relative to local incomes, Monsey, New York is the least affordable US city with 20,000+ residents: the median home ($921,000) costs 19.3x the median household income ($47,629).

Where are homes cheapest relative to income?

Flint, Michigan has the lowest value-to-income ratio at 1.4x — the median home costs barely more than a single year of median household income.

What is a normal home value-to-income ratio?

The national figure is 4.1x, and roughly 3x has historically been considered comfortably affordable. 150 US cities now exceed 8x.